In the main reason is that a solid lineup for Cincy will get to Wentz in time and often. It is not so good that he has a less than stellar ERA of 6.65 and in his last two home starts he gave up 12 out of 12. Williamson, who has not started since late last month on the Covid-19 list, has not started since late last month on the Covid 19 list and while he has been up and down in his last few starts, gave up five runs in his last one. Over is the pick for this game.